Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 8.733613e-01 1.101717 1.355963 1.657089 2.001086 2.379018 2.822810
2025-06-15 5.877034e-01 0.887518 1.259807 1.742617 2.338962 3.038936 3.909954
2025-06-22 3.930676e-01 0.716889 1.164845 1.795562 2.627581 3.656795 4.994776
2025-06-29 2.576877e-01 0.576752 1.069487 1.818774 2.865984 4.219401 6.041698
2025-07-06 1.563159e-01 0.445607 0.949897 1.778769 3.002593 4.648522 6.934089
2025-07-13 1.000188e-01 0.365911 0.886150 1.801555 3.216104 5.179921 7.972889
2025-07-20 6.195209e-02 0.300679 0.827349 1.816766 3.410646 5.686433 8.990605
2025-07-27 3.297168e-02 0.233106 0.742789 1.771722 3.502998 6.046296 9.815206
2025-08-03 1.588088e-02 0.180000 0.668856 1.729162 3.588412 6.392080 10.624081
2025-08-10 7.718096e-03 0.147292 0.628676 1.739202 3.753671 6.855568 11.605948
2025-08-17 2.472589e-03 0.110956 0.563936 1.689001 3.810583 7.154455 12.357285
2025-08-24 1.081091e-03 0.099329 0.563073 1.766729 4.087652 7.793944 13.611616
2025-08-31 1.745866e-04 0.079186 0.528461 1.770323 4.239793 8.254013 14.629799
2025-09-07 3.582569e-05 0.074399 0.543995 1.886607 4.599561 9.049910 16.160822
2025-09-14 7.089293e-08 0.065296 0.539664 1.956529 4.878163 9.725653 17.528805
2025-09-21 NaN 0.054060 0.520555 1.988376 5.086963 10.295183 18.749626
2025-09-28 NaN 0.039545 0.475716 1.949476 5.158542 10.643964 19.644706
2025-10-05 NaN 0.031931 0.458024 1.975603 5.354026 11.197496 20.857630
2025-10-12 NaN 0.025170 0.438401 1.992760 5.531017 11.723014 22.034815
2025-10-19 NaN 0.017012 0.398059 1.945239 5.574903 12.026544 22.875232
2025-10-26 NaN 0.011034 0.361440 1.900094 5.618505 12.328074 23.715323
2025-11-02 NaN 0.007991 0.344683 1.910926 5.776968 12.826940 24.869107
2025-11-09 NaN 0.004522 0.309890 1.857427 5.795179 13.083826 25.646326